Archive for February, 2008
My grandfather came to mind the other day. Now, I had a love-hate relationship with the old man. On the one hand, he did some things that make me proud to claim his blood. On the other hand he did some things… The worst he did, personally, was when he met my then-fiance and called [...]
Most of the NYT article was about how McCain was constantly accompanied by this lobbiest who bragged of the access and success with McCain on behalf of clients. Of how the straight shooter may not be so straight. And in fact, the NYT article itself shot down the romance angle.
But the pushback is on the [...]
With the scandal that’s breaking, if McCain becomes the GOP nominee the message from the Democrats becomes easy – and ugly. “McCain – more of the same.” Background words being Bush, Iraq, Economy, and now Keating. Mr. Squeaky Clean was such to redeem himself from his Keating errors. This bites him. Hard.
There’s a current flurry [...]
Hillary Clinton isn’t planning to win the nomination directly, just stave off losing the popular vote delegates so she can close the deal with the superdelegates.
Firewall states? Seriously, a firewall is a defensive measure.
What she’s doing is what I currently think of as the Giuliani strategy (and yes, that tells you how I think of [...]
I had a theory that in large part was discredited, but the devil is in the details – and the details are very interesting.
Nutshell of the theory. Respective party turnout for the presidential primary will indicate how that state votes for the presidential election. I went back through 1972 to attempt validation. [...]
I’m aware that medical science is still in the “this usually works” stage. I could go on about a few things into which I’ve dug, for example, but I’ve got a solid one to pass along.
VOA reports that the NIH has stopped a major (money and time) study of diabetes. Why? People dying, unexpectedly.
The THEORY [...]
I propose a theory that it is possible to have a high likelihood of predicting which party will win a state in a presidential election year, based upon primary turnout.
The basic theory is that where D turnout is larger than R turnout in the primary, D will subsequently win that state’s presidential delegates. And, of [...]
Well, things have solidified a fair amount. Here’s my projection.
McCain locks in the GOP nomination by the middle of March. Huckabee is his VP candidate. At this point I don’t see a way for Romney+Huck to stop McCain from getting the 50% mark eventually. In about two or three weeks (with the various upcoming primaries [...]
R first. In terms of actual percentages of total vote, McCain will get about 40%, and Romney and Huckabee will split most of the difference (Paul will get about 10%). Because so many of the states are winner-take-all, however, McCain’s victories in California, New York, and New Jersey – plus many of the less numerous [...]
Every so often I have a movie ruined for me. What happens is that I was fine with it while ignorant, but something happens and *POOF* I know something that makes me have to force myself past it to watch the movie.
Take the classic of these – Citizen Kane. Great movie, classic in the eyes [...]
